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Confirmation Bias

Confirmation bias (also called confirmatory bias, myside bias or verification bias) is a tendency of people to favor information that confirms their beliefs or hypotheses. As a result, people gather evidence and remember information selectively, and interpret it in a biased way. The biases are stronger for emotionally charged issues and for deeply entrenched beliefs. For example, in reading about gun control, people usually prefer sources that affirm their existing attitudes. They also tend to interpret ambiguous evidence as supporting their existing position. Biased search, interpretation and recall have been invoked to explain attitude polarization (when a disagreement becomes more extreme even though the different parties are exposed to the same evidence), belief perseverance (when beliefs persist after the evidence for them is shown to be false), the irrational primacy effect (a stronger weighting for data encountered early in an arbitrary series) and illusory correlation (in which people falsely perceive an association between two events or situations).

A series of experiments in the 1960s suggested that people are biased toward confirming their existing beliefs. Later work re-interpreted these results as a tendency to test ideas in a one-sided way, focusing on one possibility and ignoring alternatives. In certain situations, this tendency can bias people's conclusions. Explanations for the observed biases include wishful thinking and the limited human capacity to process information. Another explanation is that people show confirmation bias because they are weighing up the costs of being wrong, rather than investigating in a neutral, scientific way.

Confirmation biases contribute to overconfidence in personal beliefs and can maintain or strengthen beliefs in the face of contrary evidence. Poor decisions due to these biases have been found in military, political, and organizational contexts, as well as in the process of getting to know other people.

From Wikipedia under the GNU Free Documentation License
Fri Jan 20 05:49:27 2012


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Alexandria - Confirmation bias as a tool of perception - Jim ...
www.alexandria.nu
Alexandria - Confirmation bias as a tool of perception - Jim ...
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Confirmation bias as a tool of

Teaching Through the Confirmation Bias - Blog - Sociology Source.
www.sociologysource.com
Teaching Through the Confirmation Bias - Blog - Sociology Source.
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I use Fox News and MSNBC as examples of the confirmation bias .

From Google Image Search: "confirmation bias"
Fri Jan 20 05:49:29 2012

Pitfalls of Thinking: Confirmation Bias (2/2)
9 min., 0 sec.
www.youtube.com
Pitfalls of Thinking: Confirmation Bias (2/2)

Fri, 30 Oct 2009 10:28:10 PDT

Confirmation bias is a tendency to search for, interpret or remember information in a way that confirms preconceptions or working hypotheses ...

How It All Ends: Nature of Science (pt 1 of 3)
8 min., 50 sec.
www.youtube.com
How It All Ends: Nature of Science (pt 1 of 3)

Wed, 10 Oct 2007 22:59:53 PDT

Part of the "Expansion Pack" of videos accompanying "How It All Ends" ... global warming climate change controversy carbon ...

From Google Video Search: "confirmation bias"
Tue Aug 23 08:43:24 2011

Why do people still watch cable news networks?
Q. We're well into the 21st century, and we have an unlimited variety of sources we can inform ourselves with (Politically, financially, etc.). Whether you watch CNN, MSNBC, or FOX, you're further solidifying your confirmation bias with whichever network you choose to watch. They each have an agenda and aside from pulling you in with stories that are anything but typical, you're instilled with fear from various so called pundits with the motive to sway you into a particular political view. Those of you who are answering this I'm assuming have the internet in their home. So tell me, what gives?
Asked by garrett9339 - Wed Jan 20 19:14:49 2010 - - 2 Answers - 0 Comments

A. The television is very passive. The common man and woman have no wish to expand their horizons if they have an easier access to the worlds current events. So why go flipping around the Internet typing in this, that, and the other thing when you can just sit down and vegetate? 30,000,000 people in Canada, 300,000,000 people in the United States and the lowest common denominator is the base of the whole population of both nations. There are by far ... more apathetic men and women than there are those who would actively go out and seek the truth in the news. Approximately 80% of the population is quite apathetic to what's going on around them in this world. The other 20% are the ones who get up and go with what they've got to get to the… [cont.]
Answered by the old dog - Wed Jan 20 19:27:34 2010

How do I use confirmation bias to increase my Christian faith?
Q. How do I use confirmation bias to increase my Christian faith?
Asked by Jesus Love - Thu Nov 19 18:50:58 2009 - - 5 Answers - 0 Comments

A. "Post hoc ergo propter hoc" works every single time. After something good occurs, attribute it to God.
Answered by Hally M - Thu Nov 19 18:55:55 2009

From Yahoo Answer Search: "confirmation bias"
Sun Jul 24 17:51:05 2011


Peter De Boer: A Seemingly Good Head Coach Hire for the New Jersey Devils
In Lou We Trust
Peter De Boer: A Seemingly Good Head Coach Hire for the New Jersey Devils
Tue, 19 Jul 2011 16:32:42 -0700

That could be nothing more than confirmation bias and a sample size issue, since the Devils only played these Panthers 12 times in the last 3 seasons. At the same time, it suggests that De Boer isn't a passive coach. He got his players to listen to him ...
Biogen Idec - Traders Waiting for Entry
Traders Huddle.c om
Biogen Idec - Traders Waiting for Entry
Sun, 24 Jul 2011 16:08:43 -0700

Any bullish or bearish bias is based on preceding price action and future confirmation . In the case of Biogen Idec, given that the stock finished the session lower, bears should monitor the stock, as it could reverse if it manages to trade above ...

From Google News Search: "confirmation bias"
Fri Jan 20 05:49:29 2012


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Confirmation Bias | SMB Capital - Day Trading Blog
smbtraining.com
Confirmation Bias | SMB Capital - Day Trading Blog
Today I fought confirmation bias. Confirmation bias is processing information in the market so that it fits your preconceived opinions. You overvalue all
www.smbtraining.com/blog/confirmation-bias

Bias and the Big Fingerprint Dust-Up | Smart Journalism. Real ...
miller-mccune.com
Bias and the Big Fingerprint Dust-Up | Smart Journalism. Real ...
Cognitive neuroscientist Itiel Dror finds that analysis of fingerprint data by human examiners can be ruined by unintentional bias. But he offers some relatively ...
www.miller-mccune.com/legal-affairs/bias-and-the-big-fingerprint-dust-up-3629...

From Web Search: "confirmation bias"
Fri Jan 20 05:49:30 2012


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Fri May 20 08:47:27 2011